February 3, 2013

Nifty Analysis for 4 Feb 2013




That's  Market Profile Chart for Nifty Future. What we can see on the chart ,

1) Double Distribution day, Point of Control is falling down from last 4 days.

2) There is Poor High from 29/1 which is not repaired yet.
   
 Poor High / Low ( Unsecured or Incomplete )  means is Exhaustion. Logic behind it is, there should be swift move in forming excess or end of auction. But as you see here price rotating near High /Low means
there is absence of strong buyers/sellers . These Poor High/Lows get repaired.

3) Minus development, that is Single Prints Inside VA, which is important information. Here its 6062.
    so 6062 is important Ref point , which also matches with Algo bar ref point.

## Other Observation is , One day NF has Balanced , Small range day , next day it tries to go out of balance.
     Like it did on 28 Jan ( Balance ) , Next day Imbalance of that zone.( 29 Jan)
     Also 30/31 Jan Balance Small range day , tried to move out of Balance on 1 Feb. 2013.

   Now if you Observe this balance to imbalance, twice it tried to Imbalance on Upside but failed to attract Buyers  And Closed on opposite side , i.e. lower end. ( 29  Jan and 1 Feb )
This makes me think that market is weak, but this is  also in small  bracket on daily Structure , which is approx 80-100 points.

Plan for Monday :

Observe whether it Opens back into Value area , if there is no strong commitment from Buyers side.
I will be try shorts Below 6062 level, for  6005-6010 level.
And if there is strong open on buyers side , crossing 6060-65 One can expect Poor High getting repaired.

Will Update if there is any strong Open conviction on Monday.

P.S.  Double Distribution day  is generally followed by Normal or Non Trend day.
        In Normal day there is Wide Initial Balance.


7 comments:

  1. Open Test Drive so far..shorts in place

    ReplyDelete
  2. 6038-39 Another ref point on downside, for further move down that level needs to break.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Vandana,

    nice chart & explanation, significance of 6038/39?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank U sachin ,
      6038-39 Is my ref level for down move to continue, this ref level is based on Algo bars.
      As expected,We had Wide IB today.

      Delete
  4. Okey..m out of all Shorts near 6022.

    Those who want to hold shorts..now ref level is 6030, can be used as Trailing stop fr NF day trade.

    ReplyDelete